Higher real rates can raise the opportunity cost of holding gold. Subtracting current CPI from a nominal yield illustrates purchasing power, but is not the same as the ten-year TIPS real yield.
July payrolls fell by 23,000 while unemployment declined to 4.1%. Participation, the household survey and earlier revisions help distinguish changes in jobs from exits from the labour force.
Oil affects household costs through refining, fuel, transport and retailing, with no fixed pass-through or timetable. Headline and core CPI need to be assessed together.
The dollar index measures a six-currency basket, while the dollar influences commodity pricing, debt burdens and monetary-policy expectations.
What CPI and PPI measure, how costs can reach consumers, and why the difference between the two is not a profit-margin measure.
Unemployment, participation, payroll revisions and separate surveys must be read together to understand the labour market.
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